Country Report - Portugal - a travelers view on a deflating country
Filed in archive Global Economy on April 12, 2011

© pedrosimoes7As you might know my family and I have been traveling since September last year. We started with San Diego, CA and went on to Lahaina, HI (on Maui) and then flew for one month to Lisbon, Portugal. Besides work my goal was also to understand some of the macroeconomic situations in this world better. Being on the ground' and talking to locals is giving you a much better look beyond the headlines.
Although I grew up in Europe I had never visited Portugal before and Lisbon was quite a nice surprise. It feels much more 'Atlanticist' as many other core European countries. Although rather tiny Portugal has left its mark on world history through its early and successful exploration of the seas. Vasco da Gama and many who followed him have given this country and distinct footprint. However in modern times Portugal has not been charging ahead with innovation.
We saw much of Lisbon and its great suburbs like Cascais (one of the best places to retire) and Estoril. For a traveler Portugal is a pleasant though still a bit hectic place. Traffic is rather aggressive but people are definitely not and the food is cheap and excellent. Portugal after spending more than a decade with (comparatively) strong growth has discovered that it has become pretty uncompetitive. Tax revenues have imploded and left the country (at the time of writing) to ask for an EU bailout to continue to pay it's debts.
Portugal as chosen not to leave the Euro so it can not inflate itself out of debt (as it has done in earlier busts) but instead needs to deflate slowly and painfully. Seemingly this decision is supported by much of the population who have seen the benefits of the common currency in cheap loans and affordable imports, but the support for the budget cuts is less widespread. As economist put it - Portugal suffers from sluggish growth. Wandering through Lisbon we always tried to figure out what Portugal stands for economically. What is the USP of Portugal's economy? We frankly haven't found any (major) industry that can compete with anyone on the planet. Agriculture (cork!) and tourism are strong revenue drivers but for a medium sized country that's not good enough. There are island of excellence in Portugal (Portugal features some of the cheapest and fastest Internet connectivity on the planet) but there is no major industry or service sector that 'leads the world'. Portugal (in my mind) is one more example of countries which successfully industrialized and did 'catch up' - but haven't found a 'model of excellence' that drives growth in a global economy.
But maybe that's what Portuguese want after all? People may be happy with a rather great lifestyle supported by great beaches and wonderful cuisine. GDP growth (and personal income growth) may not be such a priority. Portugal seems to be a tranquil and beautiful country which is not as much interested in the future.
We really enjoyed our time on Portugal and will be back rather sooner than later.
More to come in this series:
- Thoughts on global growth and why (most) rich economies have done so badly over the last decade
- Malaysia Country Report
- Singapore Country Report
- Indonesia Country Report
- Australia Country Report
- New Zealand Country Report

© pedrosimoes7
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Mr Wong