Fooled by randomness
Filed in archive Global Economy by tj on March 20, 2005
long title but it is indeed an entertaining book. Nassim was a bon trader at Wall Street for most of his life. He has developed a sophisticated strategy to bet on uncommon occurrences and risks. As a centerpiece he buys out of-the-money options (probably mostly puts) and waits patiently for bad things to happen that do disrupt the (stock or bond) market downwards (Terror or war). His insights and anecdotes he shares are amazing and entertaining. He probably has the best hedging strategy in his business life I ever came across and shows how much depends on luck (or randomness) in life.
The only downsides the book tends to repeat itself in the latter chapters. So in case you have given up at page 150 - you don't have to despair.
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bond markets randomness fooled entrepreneurship fooled+randomness venture+capital please+enter
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